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#161 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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MVP
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 1,119
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Your assumption of the numbers is wrong as a is directly related to market share. Currently when a worm sends out 10 copies, 9 of them end up on a Windows host and can do no harm there. Getting 5 infections when sending out 10 worms means there's a 50% market share.
No, I'm trying to explain why there hasn't been a major outbreak. Currently there's indeed a small chance, the formula shows that any worm will die out by itself at this point in time. However, it also shows that when the numbers are right there will be an epidemic. |
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#162 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 1,119
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It more or less does prove the likelyhood. Albeit indirect perhaps. As the numbers are right now it's clear that a worm will die out by itself and never reach it's full potential even if it would use 'killer code' that can infect every single OS-X host it encounters. So writing one to become the next Melissa for Mac is somewhat futile at this point in time. |
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#163 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All Star
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 726
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Maybe I wasn't clear with my final statement. What I meant was the formula only models the spread of a worm once it exists. It does not deal with the likelihood of that worm existing in the first place. And that is the contentious point when it comes to discussing the relative security of two different platforms.
I'm not sure about your formula, but the one I posted shows that any given worm will eventually infect all possible hosts. So, in your example, all systems running OS X that remained unpatched would become infected. This is independent from the market share of OS X and only relies on every Mac being somehow connected to another Mac (e.g., every Mac owner having the e-mail address of at least one other Mac owner in their address book). EDIT: I do agree that the rate of spread is related to market share, and thus in the case of OS X, it will be low enough that the vast majority of systems will be patched before any real damage is done.
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Question everything -- especially that which you already believe to be true. Last edited by EatsWithFingers; 09-02-2009 at 06:20 AM. |
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#164 |
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Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Norway
Posts: 3,152
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Thank you for your impressive thoroughness and patience, EatsWithFingers. As I understand it, we can now permanently park the notion that 8 virus-free years of OS X is due to low market share, as misguided. .
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. "You say this gadget of yours is for ordinary people. What on earth would ordinary people want with computers?" HP executive to Steve Wozniak |
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#165 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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MVP
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 1,119
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Yes, I agree to that. But perhaps I wasn't too clear either. What I meant was that currently the rate of propagation is too low for anyone to even bother writing a worm for OS-X. It simply doesn't have enough impact to make it big.
As I've mentioned before, worms don't necessarily propagate because of bugs. Some do, most don't. I've mentioned NetSky as an example, it does not abuse any bugs. No amount of patching will stop a worm like that. |
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#166 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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League Commissioner
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 8,475
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Geez, if 10% of what you say were true, the Mac would be full of malware by now. We've got hackers salivating every time anyone announces any kind of OS X vulnerability, and writing lame trojans that can't get past the first ten people to see them, yet you'd have us believe they're not interested in trying to write malware! What color is the sky in your world? |
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#167 | |||||||||||||||||||
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Hall of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2007
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I thought the issue was market share, not the speed of propagation. How much slower is the rate of propagation for the current 100 million people using an OS X-based platform compared to if the install base reaches 150 million? 33%? If a self-described security professional can't be clear about all this, it's no wonder billions of computer users have trouble understanding the risks and how they might best protect themselves. |
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#168 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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MVP
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 1,119
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Then you haven't been paying attention. Propagation speed is directly related to market share. |
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#169 |
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League Commissioner
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 8,475
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Speed, not interest in creating one. But I'm sure you'll go on ignoring all those guys who spend months creating an implausible real world hack (like pre-infecting a Mac to make cracking it easy) just so they can go to a black hat convention and demonstrate a theoretical Mac vulnerability.
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#170 |
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Hall of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 3,852
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Speed is not related to market share. Breadth of impact is. If you think I haven't been paying attention, please explain the following market share-related quotes, all by you:
I see no reason why the number of OS-X malware wouldn't rise when it's market share will be at 90% (opposite to what it is now). Exactly. I'm more or less stating that when the roles are reversed it would be the Mac users who would be facing those 40.000+ viruses/worms/whatever. There have been various attacks [on the Mac]. None of them reached a big audience simply because of the numbers involved. I see no reason why the number of OS-X malware wouldn't rise when it's market share will be at 90% (opposite to what it is now). Given enough years at that level I'm quite sure the total amount will equal or perhaps surpass the numbers we see now attacking Windows. As I've said before the number of OS-X users hasn't gained critical mass yet that would allow a worm or a virus to wreak havoc. But times will change when the baddies will move into your nice little [Apple] neighborhood. This is what inevitably will happen when market share increases. Please, have a look at what you've written before suggesting I'm not paying attention. One minute you've claimed that the Mac will have the same number of malware threats as Windows when the user base reaches some imaginary critical mass you've not defined. At other times you're saying your point is simply that people should be careful, but you've spent loads more time defending your baseless conjecture rather than offering a semblance of helpful advice to those who might stand to learn something about security. After that, you slide into statements like a Mac "worm will die out by itself and never reach it's full potential." Please, I'm no security expert, but by that logic no worm will ever reach its full potential until every living person has an infinite amount of computers and they're all connected to the Internet. And you've made all those claims without any supporting evidence other than the fact that no OS is completely secure. Seriously, imagine you're charged with submitting an OS X security procedures proposal that will be subjected to scientific peer review. What would you say, because none of what you've said here would fly in such an environment. |
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#171 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All Star
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 726
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Worms are typically used as a delivery mechanism for more insidious malware. That is, there is no point in writing a worm if the target system cannot be infected by its payload.
True, but the patching can prevent the worm having any effect on the host system (other than being used to spread the worm itself whenever the file containing the worm is executed). As you've pointed out, it is possible to write an e-mail worm that spreads amongst Macs (or any OS for that matter), but for that worm to do anything other than simply replicate there needs to be bugs in the OS which can be exploited. EDIT: OK, so MyDoom overwrites system files, but that is trivial to prevent by using a non-admin account for daily use (covered by one of my "sensible habits"). The question then is, "does a benign worm that requires user initiation to replicate constitute a security threat?" My answer would be "no, it does not."
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Question everything -- especially that which you already believe to be true. Last edited by EatsWithFingers; 09-02-2009 at 09:19 AM. |
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#172 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 1,764
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Well if this is the case, then why worry about having antivirus protection and such if there is no impact. I recall in your earlier post advocating for this, but it contradicts the statement you made later. You are not showing clarity in your thought process which is why you are unable to persuade anyone.
Hey, I'm also a self described security profession and I use no antivirus, firewall, etc.. and I feel safe ![]()
SirDice, will you be able to clearly summarize your points so that we know once and for all how you view this issue? I for one am very confused. ![]() ![]()
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with warm regards Ronald Cross |
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#173 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All Star
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 726
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Apologies for digging up these earlier posts, but I've since read about FreeBSD Jails and the concepts appear to be very similar. And increased security is precisely the motivation behind them.
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Question everything -- especially that which you already believe to be true. |
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#174 |
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Prospect
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 2
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time to upgrade my boyfriend?
macbook 10.4.11...grrrr...don't have the specs (as i am running a live ubuntu disk for privacy) but they are decent, intel based.
i think my mac *may* have been compromised...i have a 'significant other' who works in the software world and may be spying on my computer. we're having challenges. sorry if i am posting in the wrong place...it sounded like a security/privacy topic. ![]() this post says to check the activity monitor (ha!) but thats all gobbledygook to me. how can i tell what is malicious and what is standard? also, i would like to run a scan to check my mac before i keep writing 7 layers of zeroes and re-installing over and over again. is it possible that something can hide from a re-install, like 'rootkits' in pcs? or can something be stealth-installed from reading his emails? even ones without pics? yes, i am paranoid. just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they aren't out to get you. i just want to communicate with the dignity of personal choice and personal privacy. thanks in advance for any help you may offer. |
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#175 |
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Guest
Posts: n/a
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Activity Monitor is there anything fishy??
this is what comes up on my activity monitor:
Activity Monitor Aosnotifyd AppleSpell.service ATTSServer BBLauchAgent Diskimages-helpe Dock FileSyncAgent Finder Firefox iCal iTunes Helper launchd loginwindow mdworker Microsoft Database Daemon Microsoft Word Pboard Spotlight SystemUIServer UserEventAgent |
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#176 |
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Hall of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 3,852
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All of those are legitimate processes. Generally, the most helpful first action is to do a web search for any process whose name you can't identify. For example, searching for Aosnotifyd will lead to information discussing how this is a sync process for the computer and MobileMe.
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#177 |
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Guest
Posts: n/a
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Hi Guys
Anyone still there? I've just switched from Windows and feel insecure ( psychologically at least ) about the malware discussion and what I should do for my Mac. I am running OSX 10.6.5 While I sorted out whether I believe the 'We're safe' or 'you need protection' brigade I downloaded ProtectMac AntiVirus trial while I thought about it. 4 days to go! I admit to being 56, female, unfamiliar with Macs, and would pay for an AV program that would do the job, but which one?? I care most about not getting a key logger because I want to bank online. I don't have the clarity and memory anymore to delve in the backwoods like I used to on my PC (even back in DOS days). I just want to be as safe as poss. I've read the golden rules but can't be sure I've kept them! I have a separate standard account for everyday use, but do often get asked for admin passwords, and keychain is a mystery to me because it doesn't behave consistently, to my mind. I've downloaded some programs like flip4mac, a wma converter, dropbox - things I'd expect to be ok. But can you pick up trojans from just surfing? I've also played some online games, like bejeweled (bless). I'd like to download some but don't know when to trust a game site, or how to find which to trust. It's all very well saying don't make that mistake, but if you are to stray further than what comes with your new Mac, you have to take a risk, including entering your admin password, don't you?? If you don't understand how I can be this isn't feeble and still be allowed to use a computer, just try to imagine how you'd help your Grandma to have a good and safe experience with her Mac cos she couldn't get out and needed to shop online. That's not unlike my situation. So I'd be so grateful if you can help, suggest, and put my mind at rest if I'm OK here? I've posted my standard user's Activity Monitor below, if you'd take a look please? I did start googling them, but I got so tired.More risky is my father's behaviour, playing on poker sites, clicking everywhere, and no password, just hit return! He's 84. You try getting him to remember! He has is own Mac, thank God, but I want to help him bank online, and a keystroke logger would be disastrous!If I ever decide to do a reinstall, can you tell me this: Does the installation disc contain all the additional apps that came on the new machine, ie The iLife components like Garage Band? My activity monitor for my standard user is here( spacing a bit odd, but I think everything got expanding to view): Am I clean, and would it be a different picture for my admin account do you think? Did someone say Key loggers can hide? Might they not show up here then? Perhaps I should just stay in bed! Thanks so much B 1 launchd 83048 WindowServer 14 syslogd 56 socketfilterfw 28 securityd 30 ptmd 48 ProtectMacAntiVirus 23 ntpd 11 notifyd 83205 mdworker 31 mds 32 mDNSResponder 83047 loginwindow 83085 launchd 83144 WebKitPluginAgent 83181 Flash Player (Safari Internet plug-in) 83109 UserEventAgent 83209 TextEdit 83090 SystemUIServer 83135 Safari 83203 Quick Look Helper 83117 ProtectMacAntiVirusAgent 83104 pboard 83123 iTunesHelper 83122 GrowlHelperApp 83099 fontd 83091 Finder 83124 Dropbox 83131 dbfseventsd 83089 Dock 83146 AppleSpell.service 83115 AirPort Base Station Agent 83229 Activity Monitor 10 kextd 34 KernelEventAgent 36 hidd 83078 hdiejectd 37 fseventsd 39 dynamic_pager 16 distnoted 83074 diskimages-helper 12 diskarbitrationd 15 DirectoryService 76 cvmsServ 83212 cupsd 51 coreservicesd 87 coreaudiod 13 configd 74770 clamd 17 blued 45 autofsd 83231 activitymonitord 0 kernel_task |
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#178 |
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Guest
Posts: n/a
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Need Help
Hey All....
OK so im very very new to MAC(had it for like a month now). Heres my problem: A few days ago someone hacked my gmail, hotmail and facebook and changed all backup information and passwords. I have managed to get gmail and facebook back but not hotmail. i have reason to bel that there might be a key logger on my comp...i really need to get this checked. activity monitor is below: PLEASE HELP!!!! 369 Activity Monitor waleedelahi 3.7 2 29.7 MB Intel (64 bit) 118 AirPort Base Station Agent waleedelahi 0.0 4 5.8 MB Intel (64 bit) 140 AppleSpell.service waleedelahi 0.0 2 7.5 MB Intel (64 bit) 113 AppleVNCServer waleedelahi 0.0 4 3.9 MB Intel (64 bit) 96 Dock waleedelahi 0.0 3 24.4 MB Intel (64 bit) 98 Finder waleedelahi 0.0 4 12.5 MB Intel (64 bit) 343 Flash Player (Safari Internet plug-in) waleedelahi 0.3 13 27.7 MB Intel 102 fontd waleedelahi 0.0 2 5.1 MB Intel (64 bit) 376 googletalkbrowserplugin (Safari Internet plug-in) waleedelahi 0.0 3 3.9 MB Intel 377 GoogleTalkPlugin waleedelahi 0.0 8 9.9 MB Intel 120 imagent waleedelahi 0.0 5 6.1 MB Intel (64 bit) 126 iTunesHelper waleedelahi 0.0 3 2.9 MB Intel (64 bit) 92 launchd waleedelahi 0.0 2 1.0 MB Intel (64 bit) 38 loginwindow waleedelahi 0.0 2 8.0 MB Intel (64 bit) 100 pboard waleedelahi 0.0 1 856 KB Intel (64 bit) 135 Safari waleedelahi 3.1 10 354.0 MB Intel (64 bit) 97 SystemUIServer waleedelahi 0.0 3 14.3 MB Intel (64 bit) 110 UserEventAgent waleedelahi 0.0 3 7.1 MB Intel (64 bit) 379 VDCAssistant waleedelahi 0.0 4 4.1 MB Intel (64 bit) 141 WebKitPluginAgent waleedelahi 0.0 2 1,020 KB Intel (64 bit) |
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#179 |
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Guest
Posts: n/a
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pls help i found something called activitymonitrd (with a d) in my activity monitor.
141 Activity Monitor marinescabieses 10.0 6 29.6 MB Intel (64 bit)
143 activitymonitord root 1.5 1 1.1 MB Intel (64 bit) 119 AirPort Base Station Agent marinescabieses 0.0 3 1.6 MB Intel (64 bit) 46 autofsd root 0.0 2 976 KB Intel (64 bit) 17 blued root 0.0 3 4.2 MB Intel (64 bit) 13 configd root 0.0 7 3.0 MB Intel (64 bit) 77 coreaudiod _coreaudiod 0.0 2 2.2 MB Intel (64 bit) 54 coreservicesd root 0.5 5 12.7 MB Intel (64 bit) 24 cupsd root 0.0 3 2.2 MB Intel (64 bit) 66 cvmsServ root 0.0 1 804 KB Intel (64 bit) 15 DirectoryService root 0.0 6 4.6 MB Intel (64 bit) 12 diskarbitrationd root 0.0 2 1.4 MB Intel (64 bit) 16 distnoted daemon 0.0 3 1.2 MB Intel (64 bit) 103 Dock marinescabieses 0.0 3 13.3 MB Intel (64 bit) 40 dynamic_pager root 0.0 1 788 KB Intel (64 bit) 105 Finder marinescabieses 0.0 6 30.5 MB Intel (64 bit) 108 fontd marinescabieses 0.0 2 4.3 MB Intel (64 bit) 38 fseventsd root 0.0 12 1.6 MB Intel (64 bit) 37 hidd root 0.0 3 1.5 MB Intel (64 bit) 127 iTunesHelper marinescabieses 0.0 3 2.8 MB Intel (64 bit) 0 kernel_task root 0.9 58 84.2 MB Intel 35 KernelEventAgent root 0.0 3 1,004 KB Intel (64 bit) 10 kextd root 0.0 2 2.6 MB Intel (64 bit) 1 launchd root 0.0 3 1.2 MB Intel (64 bit) |
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#180 |
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Guest
Posts: n/a
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best logger on mac
Blackcurrant, and wally I'm not sure what all you have heard, I had been a Mac user since they 1st came out, I worked for Apple in San Jose. It is not hard at all to monitor someone's activity on your Mac. The program will cost you some money just over 100 I do believe. I personally use it to keep track of my kids my ex-wife, and that is why she is my ex-wife, and have just recently found a great name used for. It will log all these little back door injuries to your information while you're surfing the web. I'm not sure if the programmers you realize what it does since they don't advertise for that. The program is called Specter. They have for Windows and Mac. Best money I ever spent. It records every keystroke every webpage every e-mail, I just cannot say enough about it. You're worried that someone is accessing your computer get Specter it runs completely hidden, even stays out of the activity files. The only way to detect if you have Spector on your computer is to buy it and try to install it. I hope this helps you in your right there is nothing wrong with being paranoid because they are out to get you a you may not know who but somebody always wants something from you.
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