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-   -   The Definition of Random (http://hintsforums.macworld.com/showthread.php?t=87453)

tw 03-20-2008 03:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by specter (Post 459145)
Randomness in any case is itself a complex rule. Everything is a rule. The matter is, that human mind cannot recognize some of them

weeeeeellllll... I'm not sure quantum physics would agree. everything there is a probability function; there's nothing that's not truly random.

J Christopher 03-27-2008 01:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Felix_MC (Post 458929)
I was just building a qc based cocoa app the other day, that simulated a coin being flipped in the air, and it would tell (and show) you on which side it landed on. It's supposed to be totally random.

Flipping a "fair" coin is only random if its starting position is not known. If the starting position is known, the odds change from 50:50 to 51:49 (for or against, depending on which side is called), assuming the flipper is not attempting to cheat.

J Christopher 03-27-2008 01:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by davidw (Post 458886)
Dice cant be predicted either can they?
I don't know of any device that can calculate the way dice will land.

Yes, if the initial velocities and physical properties of the dice and objects they contact are known, then the results can be calculated.

There exist craps players who can manipulate (without cheating) their dice throwing well enough to give themselves a slight advantage over the house.

J Christopher 03-27-2008 02:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 459148)
weeeeeellllll... I'm not sure quantum physics would agree. everything there is a probability function; there's nothing that's not truly random.

Until we can reconcile the very large with the very small, the only thing we can know with certainty is that we don't fully understand quantum physics (or perhaps relativity, or both). We can only predict on the quantum scale using probabilities, but that is not evidence that there is no deterministic rule dictating whether a particle will be observed here or there.

Felix_MC 03-27-2008 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J Christopher (Post 460543)
Flipping a "fair" coin is only random if its starting position is not known. If the starting position is known, the odds change from 50:50 to 51:49 (for or against, depending on which side is called), assuming the flipper is not attempting to cheat.

Well, what if the starting position is also random:rolleyes:..

ArcticStones 03-27-2008 11:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J Christopher (Post 460543)
Flipping a "fair" coin is only random if its starting position is not known. If the starting position is known, the odds change from 50:50 to 51:49 (for or against, depending on which side is called), assuming the flipper is not attempting to cheat.

But what are the odds, however minuscule, of the coin ending up standing on edge? And how would this be computed? Define the parameters of the landing surface, size and weight and thickness of the coin, and any other factors as you please. :confused:

Jay Carr 03-27-2008 11:18 AM

The principle of true randomness has nothing to do with how hard it is to calculate something, because if it can be calculated, it is not random, no matter how difficult the calculation might be.

Felix_MC 03-27-2008 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArcticStones (Post 460622)
But what are the odds, however minuscule, of the coin ending up standing on edge? And how would this be computed? Define the parameters of the landing surface, size and weight and thickness of the coin, and any other factors as you please. :confused:

talk about the force exerted on the coin, that causes it to flip, the angle of the force, the coin's distance from the ground, the coin's mass (mass, distance from the ground and the gravitational force would make up the coin's potential energy), the density of the air around the coin (which could affect the coin's air resistance, and therefore the side it falls on), and there would probably be a whole lot more, lol :p

ArcticStones 03-27-2008 11:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zalister (Post 460624)
The principle of true randomness has nothing to do with how hard it is to calculate something, because if it can be calculated, it is not random, no matter how difficult the calculation might be.

I don’t think that’s true.
If we flip a coin one hundred billion times, we can accurately calculate that the percentage of heads will be almost exactly 50%, and likewise the number of tails.

In fact, randomness demands that this calculation be accurate. ;)

The only factors that I can see influencing that are:

1) Non-random tossing methods
2) Coin markings (such as a significant convex decoration on one side) that significantly shift the coin’s centre of gravity

What the odds are that at least one of those tosses resulting in the coin standing on edge, however, I haven’t a clue.

tlarkin 03-27-2008 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mikey-San (Post 458842)
do we have rules about posting while really freaking high?

Hahahahaha, man this reminds me of a lot of conversations I have had, but since this is a family forum I will leave it up to everyone's imagination...

Depending on what level of randomness you are looking at and observing I think depends on the definition.

For example, in programming RNG (random number generators) actually aren't technically random at all. Instead they are a string of presets in which the string is picked randomly by whatever algorithm the developer has made.

In human social behavior, we have extreme levels of randomness I think. The way we act, interact, react, socialize, etc I think as a whole can be seen as random depending on perspective. There aren't really any ways of predicting or understanding some human behaviors.

True randomness, I think can be found in the universe, like the big bang theory. Though true randomness is chaos, with no system of control. Other forms of randomization are those which do have some sort of system of control but still can randomize things.

However, we all can probably agree on if you study any one thing for a long enough time you will start to see patterns. Once you see those patterns you can start to hypothesize answers, which takes away the randomness. Even in nature we can study patterns and try to predict what is going to happen. Much like our weather we have, and how the meteorologists study the patterns to deduct what weather we are going to have. It is not an exact science by any means, but it does also take away the randomness we once had of not knowing the weather.

I think if you were able to sit around and watch a bunch of gases interact in space for 100s of millions of years you could probably deduct patterns and probably even start to take away from the randomness.

ArcticStones 03-27-2008 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mikey-San (Post 458842)
do we have rules about posting while really freaking high?

Did you hear about the blitzed Swede at a party who was being introduced to somebody? All he could stutter forth was:

“How, hi are you?”

.

NovaScotian 03-27-2008 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArcticStones (Post 460697)
Did you hear about the blitzed Swede at a party who was being introduced to somebody? All he could stutter forth was:

“How, hi are you?”

.

Do Norwegians favor Swede jokes? :eek: Here in Nova Scotia, it would be a blitzed Newfoundlander. :)

NovaScotian 03-27-2008 03:39 PM

The big problem with recreating "random" has always been the frequency range -- ideally, a random signal, for example, would have a flat spectrum from 0 to infinity (don't know how to type the symbol).

Somewhat random factoid: Years ago one of the best random signal generators (white noise generator for testing electronics) on the market relied on thermionic emission: electrons radiated in an electric field by a hot filament. By itself, thermionic emission is not "flat" being clipped both low and high, so this company used two tubes and subtracted the output of one from the other to get very low frequencies. The high end was still limited by the physics, but was high enough to be useful in the radio/tv spectrum.

tlarkin 03-27-2008 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NovaScotian (Post 460701)
Do Norwegians favor Swede jokes? :eek: Here in Nova Scotia, it would be a blitzed Newfoundlander. :)

Here in America it would probably be an Irishmen or Polish person

tlarkin 03-27-2008 03:46 PM

One thing I would say is always random is physical competition. When I was training martial arts on a regular basis my teachers were big on saying there is no set system to fighting and that fighting was completely chaotic. You can fight the same opponent 100 times and never once have the same exact fight.

I think the same can be applied to sports.

ArcticStones 03-27-2008 04:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NovaScotian (Post 460701)
Do Norwegians favor Swede jokes? :eek: Here in Nova Scotia, it would be a blitzed Newfoundlander. :)

Well, I have a confession to make. This was a true story – but it wasn’t a Swede. It was an American. From which state or of which ethnic background I do not know....

Someone from Marin County? A Texan in detox? An Arkansan who did not inhale? You’ve got me there. :D

ArcticStones 03-27-2008 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tlarkin (Post 460710)
You can fight the same opponent 100 times and never once have the same exact fight.

Very interesting comparison. It is said that when two players sit down to play a game of GO, the number of possible games far exceeds the number of atoms in the universe.

tw 03-27-2008 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tlarkin (Post 460709)
Here in America it would probably be an Irishmen or Polish person

actually, in this era it would be a blitzed liberal. but I'm not sure the liberals would complain. :D

tw 03-27-2008 06:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J Christopher (Post 460548)
Until we can reconcile the very large with the very small, the only thing we can know with certainty is that we don't fully understand quantum physics (or perhaps relativity, or both). We can only predict on the quantum scale using probabilities, but that is not evidence that there is no deterministic rule dictating whether a particle will be observed here or there.

I don't think that's quite the way QM works. it's not that there's some particle that might be here or might be there or might not; supposedly all you have is a wave function. to bastardize an old parable, it's like saying you have a 20% chance of grabbing the elephant's trunk, a 30% chance of grabbing its leg, a 10% chance of grabbing his tail... when in reality the elephant isn't actually there at all, we just think it's there because we're looking for an elephant.

damn, I need a beer.

ArcticStones 03-27-2008 07:00 PM

.
I am not as thunk as some drinkle peep I am!


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