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-   -   The Slippery Slope Argument: a contrived example (http://hintsforums.macworld.com/showthread.php?t=77381)

tw 08-28-2007 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seeker777 (Post 404701)
In theory, I can envision the picture described (it's a nice mental exercise that reminds me of an intro to an episode of The Simpsons that has the whole universe in Homer's brain)...My issue is that the math of fractal shapes seems incongruous with that of a sine wave. In other words, when I try to move beyond simply imagining the quoted example as a static picture to trying to apply fractal logic, I keep seeing the actual result as a fractal curve - not being able to retain the continuous shape of a sine wave.

well, hmmm... I'm not certain this actually describes a fractal; sounds more like an odd sort of Fourier expansion. if I remember correctly, fractal attractors are everywhere non-differentiable, which would never apply to sine curves. I mean, I can see the analogy to a Koch snowflake, I just don't think it flies (the basic element of the snowflake is non-differentiable at three points, but that approaches total non-differentiability as the line length approaches 0...).

tw 08-28-2007 06:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J Christopher (Post 404538)
In causal, one event along a continuum of events increases the probability of the next event along a continuum. (For simplicity, I increased probability to one.) Therefore, the first event increases the probability of the last event, at the other end of the continuum.

In semantic slippery slope argument, one argues the two things are really the same thing, since any distinction between the two, real or imagined, is arbitrary.

I'll point out, in passing, that this is a variation on Zeno's paradox - arguing that an arrow can never hit a target, because first it has to get half way there, and before that, it has to get halfway to that halfway point... the classics are always the best. :-)

that being said, though, problems only occur with these kinds of arguments when the relational chain between objects or events is improperly specified. it's really a question of proper vs. improper induction, and as such it can't really be called a fallacy. it's just a theory that's subject to examination and/or refutation.

J Christopher 08-28-2007 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by acme.mail.order (Post 404574)
Of course you weren't. What, realistically, were the chances of you finding another jumper (+ master rigger) on a computing forum??

Fairly high on a Mac site. Skydivers aren't all that rare, and , based on my observations, freefall videographers use Macs at a rate that is higher than the population as a whole.


Quote:

Doesn't matter. As the original purpose of this discussion involved people it makes no difference WHY the argument fails. It still fails. As people do not behave logically it is therefore logically impossible to use logic to explain them. :confused:
If you want to believe that, you are certainly entitled to do so. However, for the purposes of this particular discussion, why the argument fails or doesn't fail IS the topic of discussion. I only needed one example, no matter how unrealistic and contrived (my example was admittedly both), to show that it is misuse, not use, of the slippery slope strategy that leads to a fallacious conclusion.

Quote:

Fine. but your example fails when you say the first foot fallen leads to the second foot etc. Exit to impact is a single event as it is unchangeable once begun.
That's the whole point of the Slippery Slope argument. The first step implies the last step, hence the name slippery slope. (It can also be valid if the first step just increases the probability of the last step, provided that is all that is asserted.)

Quote:

Happened in the early 90's. You can dig the details out of USPA. Cameraman had a chest-mounted recorder and was sitting in the rear corner of a Porter* with his back to the wall.
I've seen more than one cameraman board without a rig. Those damn helmets can be quite distracting. I know of at least one (beginning) skysurfer who did it also. He was most of the way to altitude before anyone noticed. Usually when they check their handles and find they are not there, they become aware of the problem.

J Christopher 08-28-2007 08:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seeker777 (Post 404701)
I was able to envision this on the way to work today, so I am not surprised by the description. However, I am still struggling with the math (now remember, I am an admitted simpleton looking to my peers for insight).

Help me out here. Point me at the "Fractal Sine Waves for Dummies" math explanation.

Regretfully, I've yet to attempt to find the actual mathematics of the pattern. It was actually by studying Taoism that I thought of it in those terms. But should you come across said mathematics, please let me know. :)

J Christopher 08-28-2007 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 404724)
well, hmmm... I'm not certain this actually describes a fractal; sounds more like an odd sort of Fourier expansion. if I remember correctly, fractal attractors are everywhere non-differentiable, which would never apply to sine curves. I mean, I can see the analogy to a Koch snowflake, I just don't think it flies (the basic element of the snowflake is non-differentiable at three points, but that approaches total non-differentiability as the line length approaches 0...).

From what little I've read of Chaos Theory, there seems to be a distinction between mathematical fractals and natural fractals. You make a very valid point about the differentiability. I just use the term fractal to represent the self-repeating aspect of the appearance, no matter how closely one zooms in, much like the Mandelbrot set. (If I recall correctly, the Mandelbrot set has only a finite number of "dimensions.")

J Christopher 08-28-2007 09:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 404725)
I'll point out, in passing, that this is a variation on Zeno's paradox - arguing that an arrow can never hit a target, because first it has to get half way there, and before that, it has to get halfway to that halfway point... the classics are always the best. :-)

Yes, I did steal Zeno's process, but eliminated the (since resolved) paradoxical aspect.

Quote:

that being said, though, problems only occur with these kinds of arguments when the relational chain between objects or events is improperly specified. it's really a question of proper vs. improper induction, and as such it can't really be called a fallacy. it's just a theory that's subject to examination and/or refutation.
True. In the previous thread in System, I mentioned how one can use division improperly to prove that 1 = 0, but it's the improper use of division that creates the fallacy, not division itself.

tw 08-28-2007 10:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J Christopher (Post 404760)
From what little I've read of Chaos Theory, there seems to be a distinction between mathematical fractals and natural fractals. You make a very valid point about the differentiability. I just use the term fractal to represent the self-repeating aspect of the appearance, no matter how closely one zooms in, much like the Mandelbrot set. (If I recall correctly, the Mandelbrot set has only a finite number of "dimensions.")

all fractals have finite dimensions, though generally they are fractional (that's where the name 'fractal' comes from - a corruption of 'fractional dimension'). basically that means that the set is infinite without filling an entire dimension - Mandlebrot, if I remember correctly, is around 1.3 dimensions, meaning it's more than a line but less than an entire plane. also you have to distinguish between the computer enhanced patterns which you see and the attractor, which is more of a mathematical abstraction. for instance, with the Mandelbrot set, the attractor is the set of all points C on the complex number plane such that iterations of the equation Z=Z^2+C never exceeds 2. 2 is not arbitrary or chosen, that's just the way it happens to work out - if it exceeds 2 the equation heads off to infinity. when you see Mandlebrot images, the Mandlebrot set is always in black - colors are generated for points outside the set, according to how quickly Z passes 2 for that value of C.

fun, hunh? :)

tw 08-28-2007 10:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J Christopher (Post 404768)
Yes, I did steal Zeno's process, but eliminated the (since resolved) paradoxical aspect.

they resolved Zeno? seems I missed something. :) what was the resolution?

seeker777 08-28-2007 10:33 PM

J Christopher-
It was not my intention to create a math test. I enjoyed the thought exercise, as I too believe in the patterns of nature providing insight into life. I am trying to find my path on the Way.

IMHO the definitive translation of the Tao Te Ching was done by R.L. Wing. If you have not seen it, I highly recommend checking it out at your book store.

J Christopher 08-29-2007 12:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 404777)
they resolved Zeno? seems I missed something. :) what was the resolution?

Calculus (limits, geometric series, the understanding of instantaneous velocities, etc.)

J Christopher 08-29-2007 12:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seeker777 (Post 404779)
IMHO the definitive translation of the Tao Te Ching was done by R.L. Wing. If you have not seen it, I highly recommend checking it out at your book store.

The Tao that we can speak of is not the eternal Tao.

:D

I will have to track that version down and read it. Thanks for the heads up.

No worries about the maths test. I enjoy maths. No matter how much I learn, I wish I knew more.

tw 08-29-2007 09:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J Christopher (Post 404791)
Calculus (limits, geometric series, the understanding of instantaneous velocities, etc.)

ah... that. :rolleyes:

tw 08-29-2007 09:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seeker777 (Post 404779)
IMHO the definitive translation of the Tao Te Ching was done by R.L. Wing. If you have not seen it, I highly recommend checking it out at your book store.

there is no definitive translation of the taote. there is only the tao, ineffable and serene, and the maunderings of old men entranced by its beauty...

that being said, though, I'll look it up. :D

AHunter3 08-29-2007 10:02 AM

One problem with Zeno's paradox, and probably a problem with the OP's example, is that what actually exists is a continuum; the divisions into smaller parts is imposed by the observer and are artificial, not intrinsic to the situation at all.

J Christopher 08-29-2007 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AHunter3 (Post 404864)
One problem with Zeno's paradox, and probably a problem with the OP's example, is that what actually exists is a continuum; the divisions into smaller parts is imposed by the observer and are artificial, not intrinsic to the situation at all.

That's exactly what the slippery slope argument is meant to highlight.

Having said that, Zeno was one clever fellow, IMO, but I'm more inclined to accept Einstein's conclusions (which built on Newton's work) about motion. :)

NovaScotian 08-29-2007 11:18 AM

Nicely spotted. There's an old joke about a male Engineer and Mathematician being offered the services of a lissome lass standing unclad before them provided only that they approach her by halves. The mathematician declines because he knows he'll never get there, but the engineer accepts eagerly because he knows he'll get close enough.

tw 08-29-2007 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NovaScotian (Post 404887)
Nicely spotted. There's an old joke about a male Engineer and Mathematician being offered the services of a lissome lass standing unclad before them provided only that they approach her by halves. The mathematician declines because he knows he'll never get there, but the engineer accepts eagerly because he knows he'll get close enough.

lol - that joke is almost too true... :)

seeker777 08-29-2007 10:02 PM

tw-

Good point.

Perhaps I should have said that I found it to be the most insightful and resonant translation I have read. Have a peek and let me know what you think.


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